Showing posts with label EROEI. Show all posts
Showing posts with label EROEI. Show all posts

Thursday, January 31, 2013

EROEI for dummies



I meet little Prosper carrying fire wood on his head in Butare, Rwanda. I try to ask him, the mother and the two other children if it is for the household or for sale, but fail to communicate. My assumption in this case is that it is for sale. Most poor people in the work use fire wood for their cooking. When population grows people, mostly women and children, have to go further and further to collect it. This image is a simple way to understand the concept of Energy Return on Energy Invested (EROEI) and why it matters for us and the economy.

There is little work to cut down a tree in your backyard to use for fire wood.  As fewer and fewer trees remain in your courtyard, you have to walk to collect firewood, and you may gradually have to use twigs and bushes instead of logs as trees grow scarcer and scarcer. So you end up spending more and more energy on getting a lower and lower quality of energy for the family supper.   

The first fossil fuels were easily available and there were little efforts needed to bring it up, in a similar way as the first trees in the backyard. The Energy Return on Energy Invested (EROEI) was something like 100. That is it took one liter of oil to extract 100 liters of oil. Many oil sources now yield just 10 or 20 liters for each liter used. The net effect is that we have to increase the total energy use just to keep the net energy delivered to society on the same level.

EROEI is the ratio of the amount of usable energy acquired from a particular energy resource to the amount of energy expended to obtain that energy resource. When the EROEI of a resource is less than or equal to one, that energy source becomes an "energy sink", and can no longer be used as a primary source of energy. (Wikipedia)

EROEI is often showed with a diagram like this[i]:


What we see is that when EROEI approached 5 there is a dramatic increase in the amount of energy that has to be used to produce energy. In its early days, oil frequently yielded an EROEI in excess of 100:1, meaning that 1% or less of the energy contained in a barrel of oil had to be used to deliver that barrel of oil. Not a bad bargain. Oil production today more typically has an EROEI around 20:1, while tar sands and oil shale tend to be about 5:1 and 3:1, respectively. Perhaps the effect is better seen by re-writing the graph assuming that we want a constant supply of energy (set at 100 in the graph).

 Here we see very well the extreme effects of an EROEI going below 5. If we want to get energy corresponding to 100 barrels of oil from a process that has an EROEI at 3, like shale oil, we have to produce 150 barrels as energy corresponding to 50 barrels will be used in the production process. Some of the biofuels are have an EROEI under 2, which is a rather meaningless exercise, especially considering the huge environmental impact of their production. Solar energy from photovoltaic element are in the range of 3:1-10:1. Wind energy perhaps in the range of 15:1

This has big economic effects. As Richard Heinberg writes in End of Growth
“As EROEI declines over time, an ever-larger proportion of society’s energy and resources need to be diverted towards the energy production sector.” 
I will come back to this very soon in another post.
And it also has huge environmental effect. For instance, if the US is going to build its energy supply around shale oil and tar sand the gross energy use will increase tremendously, and also its emissions of green house gases.

EROEI is mostly discussed in the phase of energy production, i.e. at the well or mine head. Another aspect of EROEI is also to consider the whole system. For instance, for solar systems, one can calculate the EROEI directly in the panel, but one should include the storage and distribution systems that are an integral part of the system. Finally, one should look at the EROEI all the way to consumption. So if the EROEI of petrol at the pump is 10:1, the EROEI of the use of petrol in the car is only 3:1, as only a smaller part of the fuel is converted into the movement of the car (Garden Earth).

There are many other aspects of relevance when discussing energy systems, for example, the quality of the source and how it can be used. For solar and wind energy there are also big problems associated with intermittence and storage.

For a rather recent EROEI update, read A Review of the Past and Current State of EROI Data Ajay K. Gupta  and Charles A.S. Hall.

For related post on this blog

Energy squeeze, Is it a trap, a cliff or just a simple adjustment?
Burning food?
It takes more energy to eat than to farm
Energy and Agriculture
There will be no nuclear power without oil
our energy debt

 

 





[i] Mearns, E. In The global energy crises and its role in the pending collapse of the global economy, Royal Society of Chemists, Aberdeen, Scotland, October 29th, 2008; Aberdeen, Scotland, 2008

Tuesday, October 18, 2011

Energy squeeze, Is it a trap, a cliff or just a simple adjustment?

Tom Murphy writes on his Do the Math blog
Many of us have great hopes for our energy future that involve a transition to a gleaming renewable energy infrastructure, but we need to realize that we face a serious bottleneck in its implementation. The up-front energy investment in renewable energy infrastructures has not been visible as a hurdle thus far, as we have had surplus energy to invest (and smartly, at that; if only we had started in earnest earlier!). Against a backdrop of energy decline—which I feel will be the only motivator strong enough to make us serious about a replacement path—we may find ourselves paralyzed by the Trap.....Politically, the Energy Trap is a killer. In my lifetime, I have not witnessed in our political system the adult behavior that would be needed to buckle down for a long-term goal involving short-term sacrifice. 
From Do the Math
This discussion  relates closely to the concept of Energy Demand On Energy Invested, EROEI, well elaborated in several papers by Charles S Hall and others, See for example
What is the Minimum EROI that a Sustainable Society Must Have?

What is made clear is that we must look into the net energy supplied from various energy sources, and how much energy that we must supply "up front" to realise new energy production. Oil has had the magnificent EROEI 100:1, i.e. we have got 100 times as much energy from oil production than we use to get it. Nuclear power goes down to 10:1 and most biofuels are worse. What Tom Murphy discuss more closely is when this energy investment is needed up-front, to build up the infrastructure etc. Most of the "alternatives" to fossil fuel do require a lot of up front investment (nuclear, solar and wind). He shows that there will be a considerable squeeze on energy supply by all these up front investments.



The trap is bad enough in a scenario of non-growth of energy consumption, which to some extent reflects the situation in the “mature” economies of Europe and Japan. Globally, energy demand is actually still increasing a lot, see e.g. IEA’s prognosis. “In the New Policies Scenario – the central scenario this year – world primary energy demand increases by 36% between 2008 and 2035, or 1.2% per year on average. This compares with 2% per year over the previous 27-year period. In the New Policies Scenario, non-OECD countries account for 93% of the projected increase in global energy demand, reflecting mainly faster rates of growth of economic activity.”
(http://www.worldenergyoutlook.org/docs/weo2010/factsheets.pdf)

Clearly the trap will be felt even more for economies in those stages of development…..


On the other hand, my understanding is that business investment rates in general are in the range of some 20%. Clearly most of those investments are not “energy-investments” per se, but they do have big implications for energy use, as they will reflect expectations of energy prices. I wonder if this will not partly mitigate the effect of the trap?

I believe there is a justification to state that energy is the currency of the world at large. It is energy that flows from the sun, that starts the whole cycle of life, and all our life is dependent that. In addition, all farming is about yielding energy, and ultimately our whole industrial society is based on access to cheap fossil fuel. If it were not for the coal pits in England, there might never had been an industrial revolution nor capitalism.

Earlier post relating to this

Dopamine, probably the most dangerous molecule on earth


 
and in Swedish about EROEI: 
(why reduced supply of energy spells the death of capitalism)