Showing posts with label labour. Show all posts
Showing posts with label labour. Show all posts

Friday, September 30, 2011

Organic farming as a strategy for a new economy



Introduction
This paper explores the evolution of the modern agri-food system and in particular, how it has been shaped by the market economy, industrialisation and cheap fossil fuel. It concludes that some of the principles of organic farming are incompatible with the logic of the market economy and the industrial society. Therefore, the organic movement should look for strategies that challenge the prevailing paradigms, and build alternative economies.

Farming has been shaped by cheap fossil fuel and the market economy.
Farming systems are largely shaped by the ecological and social conditions under which they develop; they also influence these conditions. It was the shift from a hunter and gather society to an agrarian society that lead to the initial stratification of society in rulers and oppressed, to private property and to the city and the state. The simple agrarian equation was always that farmers must produce more energy as food than the energy they spent on it. They must produce energy for themselves, for young (reproducing the labour force), old and sick dependants, for some other tradesmen and for the rulers, who offered protection against taxes or forced work. For a long time this energy equation remained the same. Gradually, through technical innovations, productivity could increase and new lands could be tilled, thereby allowing a slow increase in population. All in all productivity per worker didn't increase so much; slash and burn farming, almost without tools, is mostly as productive as farming with oxen and a plough[1]. Three things, all linked to each other, changed this dramatically: the emergence of the (capitalist) market economy, industrialisation and fossil energy.

Industrialism caused a fundamental change in social relations where the family unit ceased to be a unit of organised production and becomes a unit of organised consumption. Industrialism was also a way to largely expand exploitation of labour and nature. Through the combination of the market economy and industrialism, externalisation of environmental and social costs in time and place was possible - and profitable. This lead to that producers which internalised costs, simply could not compete, be it peasant farmers, artisans or corner shops. This was further augmented by that industrialism also brought in fossil fuel and thereby, seemingly, broke the ecological limits of the economy. The power in society shifted from those that controlled solar collection on the ground (landlords) and human masses (the state and landlords together) to those that controlled the new energy sources (fossil fuel) and put them into work for trade or industrial production - the industrial capitalist. It lead to the emergence of the modern society where more and more aspects of life is regulated by markets; where "growth" is seen as something inherently good or essential; where world population has exploded, where nature is merely seen as a dumping ground and a store of raw materials; and where one's wealth is built on exploitation of fellow humans and nature.

Markets existed since a long time, but up to some hundred years ago, societies were not "market economies". Ancient elites didn't earn their money from markets but from conquest (robbery) rents and taxes. The role of markets for distribution of goods was not dominant, very little food was bought or sold, and there were no markets for land or labour. Farmers were largely shielded from competition in the modern sense. Grain didn’t become a fully tradable commodity until the end of the 19th century in Asia. The big shake up came with the introduction of fossil fuel and industrialisation. Improvements in transportation technology, in particular steamships and rail-roads were both a driver and prerequisite for increased trade. In 1870, a bushel of wheat cost 60 cents in Chicago and the double in London. By the end of the century transport costs, and thereby the price difference, had shrunk to 10 cents. Somewhat later, and in particular after WWII, fossil fuel was also applied in the farm sector itself by the introduction of threshers, pumps for irrigation, tractors and last but not least fertilizers, adapting to the ways of the factory.

The introduction of markets affected every aspect of the farm sector. Now, village life, culture and religion, which earlier both controlled and assisted in farming, became "obstacles to development", because they stood in the way of the market logic. Land, water and forests were gradually transformed from commons to tradable commodities. Farmers are no longer reproducing their production system. They buy seeds and breeds in the market; they don't have to take care of the reproduction of the soil, because they can compensate that with buying chemical fertilisers. They don't have to take care of the balance between nature and what humans take away. The total biological productivity per hectare remains much the same, but we take a higher and higher share of that production, e.g. by transforming grains to have less roots and straw and more kernel; by exterminating weeds and wildlife in the fields and by not allowing the soil to naturally regenerate.

The production per agriculture worker in the most advanced economies have reached 2,000 tons of grain per man year, while in historical times it was just a few tons; an increase in labour productivity by thousand times. But in many parts of the world, the labour productivity is largely the same as it was hundred years ago, while the price of food has decreased tremendously[2]. The average value produced by a farm worker is just above 100 dollars per year in the poorest countries and some 40,000 dollars per year in France. And the gap in productivity between the rich and the poor is widening
Table 1 Agricultural labour productivity, US dollar per man-year

1990-1992
2001-2003
Agriculture as share of GDP
Low income countries
315
363
20%
Middle income countries
530
708
9%
High income countries
14,997
24,438
2%
France
22,234
39,220
2%
China
254
368
12%
Malawi
72
130
36%
Source: World Bank, World Development Report 2008

Labour productivity in modern farming can largely be explained with the command of energy resources. The modern farmer is de facto commanding a mass army of "energy slaves"; a barrel of oil represents the energy of 25,000 hours of human toil i.e. 14 persons working a year with normal Western labour standards. The energy efficiency in modern farming is considerably lower than in pre-industrial farming systems. Our ancestors would have starved to death if they had had as bad energy ratios as our food system; in industrial countries between 10 and 15 times more energy is used in the food system than what is contained in the food we end up eating.

With cheap global transports and a rather liberalised trade, farmers in developing countries, having access to almost no energy resources, are supposed to compete with colleagues in the developed countries that use energy resources corresponding to hundreds of labourers. Through perverse subsidies and various trade and food policies, economics and rules are bent in favour of the farmers in rich countries. Despite a few selected success stories with high value crops (horticulture) or other premium products, such as organic, most farmers in developing countries are losing out in the competition. Many of the least developed countries have gone from food exporters to food importers in a few decades as a result of these unfair relationships. The same development affects many small farms in developed countries, who can only survive by going into “niches” such as artisan food production or services such as educational farms. There are other troubling aspects of our food system after the farm gate, such as the dominance of a few supermarkets, enormous waste and the deterioration of food quality. These are also linked to the depicted development.

We are in the stage of peak-oil; our wasteful farming system and the use of fossil fuels cause climate change; water resources are depleted; global population has exploded and our ecological footprint is considerably bigger than the planet (and growing by the day). And still, farming is shaped as if labour was the main limiting factor and nature is for free. People in high income countries consume up to 10 times more natural resources than those in the poorest countries. 884 million people lack access to clean drinking water and 2.6 billion people do not have access to running water (UNEP 2010). The differences between rich and poor are increasing over the years;  the richest 2 percent of adult individuals own more than half of all global wealth, with the richest 1 percent alone accounting for 40 percent. Most of the poorest are involved in farming. 
How can anyone claim that our development model is successful, when it fails on so many accounts?

Discussion and Conclusions
There are several features of organic farming that is in contradiction to this development. Most importantly organic farming:
- is based on as closed cycles of nutrients as possible, something that is impossible to maintain with large scale international trade, and in general difficult in a commoditized food system
- builds on natural systems to regulate pests and weed and supply crops with nutrients and is therefore not in favour of system relying on the purchasing of inputs.
- is in principle against the use of finite resources, e.g. fossil fuel and mineral fertilizers
- is committed to fairness, while market imperatives such as competition, rent-seeking and economies of scale are everything but fair, instead they lead to ever increasing gaps between rich and poor.
Organic farming is essentially in opposition, not only to the use of agro-chemicals, but to the whole system that is based on exploitation of nature and of fellow humans. People like myself, have seen it as urgent to transform the farming system into a more benign system without necessarily challenging the prevailing paradigm. A vehicle for doing this has been the "mainstreaming" of organic into mainstream (global) markets and into government policies. That is still a praiseworthy effort, but it comes with a price. I have been a farmer myself and know how it works in the daily life. The power of the prevailing economic system and its ideology is overwhelming. Ultimately organic farmers have to survive, and to survive within the market economy requires submission to the logic of the market; it leads to increased use of inputs in production, externalisation of costs, corporate take-over and business-as-usual approaches. The farmers truest to organic principles are mainly small scale gardeners producing for themselves and lifestyle farmers. They can be true to the organic ideals not because of their moral superiority or higher skills, but because of their autonomy from the market forces.

In theory, full internalisation of costs (such as fees for nature resource use and waste) and compensation for ecosystem services (such as carbon credits or landscape payments) would allow organic farmers to compete "fairly" with non-organic. But the industrial model is based on externalisation of costs. This is also the reason for why there is such a resistance to internalisation of costs from those that profit from the system, be it internalisation of social costs or environmental costs. In a complex system such as farming, internalisation of all social and environmental costs and compensation for ecosystem services would only be possible with very extensive and detailed regulations. Just look at the EU agri-environmental programs which are just a very small step in that direction. Such a system would probably still be neither fair nor efficient, and would in many ways represent a control of farms more sever than under Soviet rule.

There are two strategies to follow: One is the strategy for individual autonomy in the same way as peasants have related to the market for centuries, by limiting their dependency of inputs for production and reproduction of the system, such as fertilizers, paid labour and credits. This "peasant strategy" is not only a feature in developing countries, but is also prominent in many farms in developed countries. It coincides with prominent aspects of organic farming, especially the idea that production shall be based on local resources. It is a strategy based on the understanding that a total integration in the market system will be devastating. While autonomy can be appealing, it also easily leads to isolation both mental and social. Therefore, pursuing individual autonomy has limited ability to change the bigger picture.

Another strategy is based on building new economic relations, which gradually can replace the capitalist market economy. I am proposing systems in the tradition of cooperatives, communities and villages; self-organised local and global societies. Models that break free from the dichotomy between state and the market, which represents a false choice we are supposed to make. It is about lifting autonomy to another level, from a personal strategy to a local and global community strategy. In the same way as the capitalist society developed parallel to, and sometimes in violent opposition to, the feudal society, another society will have to grow, stealthily, beside the market logic. It has to be combined with a change in values and paradigm and aim at an economy where man's wealth does not result in nature's poverty and the poverty of other people. It is incumbent on the organic movement to actively research and test business models that can contribute to such a new social economic order.


[1]            Which is the reason for why farmers only abandon it when there is a shortage of land.
[2]            At this very moment we experience higher food prices, but the long term trend has been ever declining prices. 

Paper presented to the Organic World Congress 30 September 2011.

Sunday, July 10, 2011

The pot of gold at the base of the pyramid


A "supamarket" in Bujumbura July 2011
It is no longer at the end of the rainbow we will find the pot of gold - it is at the Base Of the Pyramid. To produce for the poor has become a much noticed market niche. The four billion people at the Base Of the (economic) Pyramid (Called BOP)—all those with incomes below US$3,000 in local purchasing power—live in relative poverty. Yet together they have substantial purchasing power: the BOP constitutes a $5 trillion global consumer market (WRI 2007). Most people, even the companies themselves, were utterly surprised by how rapidly cell phones spread in developing countries. Between 2000 and 2006, the number of mobile subscribers in developing countries grew more than fivefold—to nearly 1.4 billion. Growth was rapid in all regions, but fastest in sub-Saharan Africa—Nigeria’s subscriber base grew from 370,000 to 16.8 million in just four years (WRI 2007). One reason for this spectacular growth was of course that most African countries had failed to bring landlines to their population. Inspired by this success, many companies tailor-make products for the poor and innovations occur. One can transfer money quicker and easier in Kenya than in Sweden via the cell phones, an enormous leap in a country where normal bank transfer seemed to go with camel caravan, often got lost and fees of transfer were very high. As low income countries are not as stuck in infrastructure investments, we might actually see quicker uptake of some innovative technology, such as distributed power solutions, than in developed countries. Many of these products, such as cell phones, undoubtedly improve quality of life. And mobile banking certainly makes running a business both cheaper and easier. They are also to some extent "democratic" in nature, they reach many people and are not linked to a certain position, corruption or privilege. So this is all good.

Many of the "things" do take money away from local consumption though, as most of these products are imported, so it is not clear to me how they, if at all, can contribute to local economic development. Earlier, many of the poor countries could at least export agriculture products to pay for the imports, but now more and more poor countries are net importers of agriculture products. What is clear is that making people buy things is one of the most efficient strategies to integrate them into global markets. The increased need for money force people into money based employment or market oriented production.  

More people working for the Man, so to say.

Tuesday, March 22, 2011

Towards a society of services or servants?

Most people would do their cleaning themselves if they had to pay the cleaning lady the same salary as their own, it is as simple as that.

It is said that we are moving towards a society of services. There is some truth in this, even if manufacturing still plays a bigger role than many believe. Globally manufacturing is actually not shrinking, even if it goes down in high-income countries. On the global level, the striking change is from agriculture to services. Historically there was a transformation from agriculture to industry to services but in some countries, notably in Sub-Saharan Africa, there is no such transition; people move out from the agriculture sector directly to the service sector. When we look at the proportion of people employed in different sectors, and not the absolute number of people, we forget that the number of people working in e.g. farming is very high and in most parts of the world actually rather stable. Between 1970 and 2000 the number of people engaged in the farm sector in Latin America was more or less constant (Ploeg 2009). Perhaps even more surprising for many is that despite the rapid pace of urbanization the number of people in rural areas and the number of farms are increasing and not decreasing (although this will change quite soon and the number of farmers certainly is on a rapid decrease in high-income countries).

Table 19: World employment by sector 1998-2008

Agriculture (%)

Industry (%)

Service (%)

1998

2008

1998

2008

1998

2008

World

41.6

34.5

20

21.6

38.4

43.8

High-Income countries

5.8

3.7

28.0

24.9

66.2

71.4

Source: KILM 2010

We can see more detail from the US employment data, where retail trade is a bigger employer than manufacturing, however in terms of economic output it only “produce” one third as much value. Professional and business service is a growth sector as well as health care. 9.6 million were employed in food services (restaurants, bars, catering) and 1.5 million in food manufacturing, 15.3 million in retail, compared to just above 2 million in the agriculture sector (Bartsch 2009)

The statistics mask that earlier a lot of the services, e.g. health care and personal care was performed outside of the formal labour market, mainly in the families. Also, manufacturing has outsourced a lot of functions which means that was earlier counted as “manufacturing” is today called services. The growing service sector has four distinct segments. One is the professional services oriented to the business and industries, it can be auditing, engineering, back office functions of many kinds. In the statistics, these same jobs if they are performed in-house the factory would be qualified as a manufacturing job. These kinds of services are generally speaking well paid. Second, we have the whole apparatus of wholesale, transport and retail, together representing 17-18 percent of the work force in the USA. Some of that is also oriented to manufacturing, but most of it is for the consumer market. There is a hospitality industry dominated by restaurants, bars and drinking places with almost ten percent of the work force. This sector is where we find a lot of low-paid low skilled work. Third, we have the police, health care and education, things that in most countries are performed by the public sector. Often these jobs are quite badly paid, but have better employment conditions than the retail or restaurants. Fourth, there is the pure personal service sector, cleaning, massage, shoe-shining etc. things that historically were done by servants. Here conditions are often bad, in some countries a lot of it is done by migrant workers, legal or illegal. Those who predict that there will be a lot of growth in that sector also predicts that we will continue to have big differences in income because it is basically differences in income that drives and make possible most of these kinds of services.


Thursday, March 17, 2011

What about a few more people in farming?

One doesn't have to be an economist to realise that we value something higher that is in short supply than something that is abundant. For a long time nature was seen as unlimited, just for us to exploit as we saw fit. Up to the industrial revolution exploitation was fairly proportionate to the growing population. With the industrial revolution we expand exploitation through the application of energy and technology at a raging pace. But we can see that resources are depleted and that we need to take better care of them. At the same time our population has exploded.

Not that I think we should compare humans and trees but to put it a bit provocatively: As we have more and more people and less and less nature, we have to value nature higher and people less, or at least human labour less."Saving" nature must have priority over saving labour. A question is how we make a system of regulations and incentives to cater for that, a system that doesn't erode respect for human rights and human values?Just look at employment in the USA: 9.6 million were employed in food services (restaurants, bars, catering) and 1.5 million in food manufacturing, 15.3 million in retail, compared to just above 2 million in the agriculture sector.

This simply makes no sense. There must be something fundamentally wrong with a system that employs more people flipping hamburgers than taking care of the planet...

Table 28: US employment by sector 1998-2018

US Employment by major industry sector, 1998, 2008, and projected 2018

Industry sector

Percent distribution

1998

2008

2018

Non-agriculture wage and salary

90.1

91.3

91.7

Goods-producing, excluding agriculture

17.3

14.2

12.9

Mining

0.4

0.5

0.4

Construction

4.4

4.8

5.1

Manufacturing

12.5

8.9

7.4

Services-providing

72.8

77.2

78.8

Utilities

0.4

0.4

0.3

Wholesale trade

4.1

4.0

3.7

Retail trade

10.4

10.2

9.6

Transportation and warehousing

3.0

3.0

3.0

Information

2.3

2.0

1.9

Financial activities

5.3

5.4

5.2

Professional and business services

10.8

11.8

13.2

Educational services

1.6

2.0

2.3

Health care and social assistance

8.7

10.5

11.9

Leisure and hospitality

8.0

8.9

8.8

Other services

4.1

4.2

4.3

Federal government

2.0

1.8

1.7

State and local government

12.2

13.1

12.8

Agriculture wage and salary

1.0

0.8

0.7

Agriculture self-employed and unpaid family workers

0.8

0.6

0.5

Non-agriculture self-employed and unpaid family worker

6.6

6.2

6.0

Other

1.4

1.1

1.1

Source: Bartsch 2009, Employment Projections Program, U.S. Department of Labor, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics